IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.0	#128
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.1	#251
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.7	#147

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.3	#127

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.1%	3.3%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.2%	1.3%	0.2%
Average Seed	11.2	11.2	11.9

.500 or above	78.0%	80.2%	50.0%
.500 or above in Conference	47.3%	48.7%	29.0%
Conference Champion	1.5%	1.6%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.7%	6.1%	13.4%

First Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.1%
First Round	2.9%	3.0%	0.8%
Second Round	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 92.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 3	6 - 11
Quad 4	13 - 2	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	327	Cal Poly	W	76-61	93%
Nov 12, 2019	157	Washington St.	W	77-72	66%
Nov 16, 2019	113	@ Stanford	L	68-73	34%
Nov 22, 2019	335	Idaho St.	W	79-62	93%
Nov 27, 2019	305	Denver	W	77-64	88%
Nov 29, 2019	294	Southeast Missouri St.	W	78-65	87%
Nov 30, 2019	213	Cal St. Fullerton	W	75-67	76%
Dec 04, 2019	95	@ Nevada	L	69-75	32%
Dec 07, 2019	166	California	W	71-66	67%
Dec 14, 2019	280	Sacramento St.	W	75-63	84%
Dec 18, 2019	330	San Jose St.	W	79-63	91%
Dec 20, 2019	353	Mississippi Valley	W	82-59	97%
Dec 29, 2019	345	Alcorn St.	W	77-58	95%
Jan 04, 2020	164	San Diego	W	70-65	67%
Jan 09, 2020	111	@ San Francisco	L	67-72	35%
Jan 11, 2020	19	@ St. Mary's	L	59-73	12%
Jan 16, 2020	8	@ Gonzaga	L	65-83	6%
Jan 18, 2020	247	Pacific	W	71-61	79%
Jan 23, 2020	117	Pepperdine	W	76-74	56%
Jan 25, 2020	164	@ San Diego	L	67-68	47%
Jan 30, 2020	8	Gonzaga	L	68-80	15%
Feb 01, 2020	285	@ Portland	W	72-66	68%
Feb 06, 2020	117	@ Pepperdine	L	73-77	36%
Feb 13, 2020	111	San Francisco	W	70-69	55%
Feb 15, 2020	149	Loyola Marymount	W	66-62	63%
Feb 20, 2020	67	@ BYU	L	72-81	23%
Feb 22, 2020	247	@ Pacific	W	68-64	62%
Feb 27, 2020	19	St. Mary's	L	62-70	25%
Feb 29, 2020	285	Portland	W	75-63	84%
Projected Record						17 - 12	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		1.5	1st
2nd										0.1	0.5	1.7	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0			5.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	1.6	4.2	3.7	1.1	0.1					10.8	3rd
4th							0.0	0.5	3.2	5.9	4.3	0.8	0.0						14.8	4th
5th						0.0	0.6	4.3	7.0	3.6	0.6	0.0							16.1	5th
6th					0.0	0.7	4.6	7.1	3.4	0.3	0.0								16.1	6th
7th				0.0	0.5	4.0	6.2	2.4	0.2	0.0									13.4	7th
8th			0.0	0.7	3.6	4.9	1.7	0.1	0.0										11.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.9	2.5	3.1	0.8	0.1												7.4	9th
10th	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.0	0.3	0.0													3.4	10th

Total	0.2	0.7	2.2	4.2	7.5	10.5	13.1	14.4	14.1	11.5	9.6	6.3	3.3	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	99.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	67.8%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0
13-3	35.9%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-4	8.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-5	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		100.0%	2.1%	97.9%	6.5				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0									100.0%
15-1	0.1%		79.3%	33.1%	46.2%	6.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		69.0%
14-2	0.5%		73.0%	16.4%	56.6%	9.6			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1					0.1		67.7%
13-3	1.7%		39.6%	14.4%	25.2%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.0		29.4%
12-4	3.3%		15.3%	8.5%	6.8%	11.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			2.8		7.4%
11-5	6.3%		7.9%	6.1%	1.8%	11.8									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			5.8		1.9%
10-6	9.6%		3.2%	2.8%	0.4%	12.2											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.3		0.4%
9-7	11.5%		2.1%	2.0%	0.1%	12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.3		0.1%
8-8	14.1%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	13.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	13.9		0.0%
7-9	14.4%		0.8%	0.8%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	14.2
6-10	13.1%		0.2%	0.2%		13.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.1
5-11	10.5%		0.1%	0.1%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.5
4-12	7.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
3-13	4.2%																							4.2
2-14	2.2%																							2.2
1-15	0.7%																							0.7
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.1%	1.9%	1.2%	11.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	96.9		1.2%